I don’t like to declare victory prematurely. I worry that if everyone thinks that Obama already won the election that people who would vote for Obama may just decide to stay home. But according to a recent Gallup poll that will not be the case, as Democrats as of recently are more energized about the election than Republicans especially in key swing states.
Voter enthusiasm in these states has grown among members of both political parties; however, Democrats' level has increased more. Thus, whereas equal percentages of Democrats and Republicans were enthusiastic in June, Democrats are now significantly more enthusiastic than Republicans, 73% vs. 64%.
Independents' enthusiasm also jumped substantially over this period — up 18 points, similar to the 20-point gain among Democrats.
With that being said, I will actually indulge in some election predictions and a bit of premature celebration: [...]